Complete knowledge base for the Precipitated Silica & Nano-PCC Circular Biorefinery — from reaction chemistry to financial model, SOPs to Digital Twin architecture.
Six core process units — engineered for ≤700°C amorphous SiO₂, 82% NaOH recovery, and Day-1 ZLD compliance.
Rice husk enters as fuel and raw material. Through four reactions it becomes ₹61.75 Cr/yr in premium silica and nano-PCC — with NaOH recycled 82%, CO₂ captured at zero cost, and full ZLD from Day 1.
| Grade | Domestic ₹/kg | Export FOB ₹/kg | Key Specification | From Year |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Standard | ₹26 | ₹42 | BET 140–165 m²/g · D50 ≤20 µm · IS 6579 | Y1 |
| HDS — Green Tyre | ₹45–50 | ₹72–84 | CTAB ≥175 mg/g · CIPD ≥80% · Low structure | Y1–Y2 |
| Dental / Food E551 | ₹90–95 | ₹144–152 | Pb ≤1 ppm · D50 ≤12 µm · FSSAI E551 | Y3+ (18M licence) |
| Grade | ₹/kg | d50 | Application | Mix |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coatings / Bulk | ₹8–15 | 2 µm | Paints, paper coatings | 40% |
| Sealant (stearic coated) | ₹26 | 0.7 µm | Silicone sealants | 40% |
| Plastics (OCC coated) | ₹42 | 0.5 µm | PP / PE compounding | 20% |
| Material | Source & Logistics | Unit Price | Daily Need | Annual Cost | Supply Risk | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NaOH 48% Lye | Road tankers · chlor-alkali plants · ~3 tankers/week Ph1A | ₹18,240/MT lye | 9.114 MT/day | ₹5.49 Cr | Medium | 2-wk buffer tank. Causticisation CE is #1 mitigation — every 1% CE = ₹0.47 Cr/yr saving. |
| Rice Husk | FCI & rice mills within 50 km · Sangareddy is paddy belt | ₹5,500/MT (±15% seasonal) | 10–20 MT/day (ramped) | ₹1.82–3.63 Cr | Low | Husk ramp strategy locks in lower Y1 cost. Abundant local supply. |
| CaO Quicklime | Piduguralla, AP · ~150 km road | ₹6,000/MT | 13.364 MT/day | ₹2.65 Cr | Low | Dedicated limestone belt. Purity ≥85% — XRF check each delivery. Slake on-site only. |
| CTAB | Imported — China / EU surfactant | ₹1,80,000/MT | 0.289 MT/day | ₹1.72 Cr | High — Highest Risk | 4-week buffer mandatory. Dual-supplier qualification before commissioning. Single highest supply-chain risk in the plant. |
| Purchased RHA | 3rd party husking mills · contract min. 90% SiO₂ | ₹750/MT | 11.432 MT/day | ₹0.28 Cr | Low | Multiple suppliers. XRF quality verification each delivery. |
| Stearic Acid | Domestic vegetable-based | ₹1,20,000/MT | 0.162 MT/day | ₹0.64 Cr | Low | Well-established domestic supply. Used for sealant-grade PCC surface coating. |
Rice husk enters as fuel and feedstock. Through four chemical reactions, it becomes high-value precipitated silica and nano-PCC with NaOH fully recycled.
Click any stage card to see equipment diagrams and detailed process explanation.
| Stream | Ph1A MT/day | Ph1B MT/day | Derivation / Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rice Husk Input | 20.000 | 20.000 | Thermal anchor — unchanged in Ph1B. Combusted at 550–700°C with CEMS auto-shutoff at 720°C. |
| Purchased RHA | 11.432 | 16.000 | Ph1B: +4.568 MT/day funded from Y1 accruals. Min 90% SiO₂ contract clause. |
| Bonus RHA (combustion) | 3.600 | 3.600 | At ₹0 cost — generated from 20 MT/day husk combustion. 92% SiO₂ amorphous. |
| Total RHA to Leach | 15.032 | 19.600 | = Purchased + Bonus. Leached in glass-lined reactors at 90°C, 2hr, PP-lined. |
| SiO₂ Available (×92%) | 13.829 | 18.032 | RHA × 0.92 SiO₂ content — IUPAC 2021 MW: SiO₂ = 60.08 g/mol |
| SiO₂ Extracted (×88%) | 12.170 | 15.868 | 88% extraction efficiency — lab validation required before engineering freeze. |
| PS Produced | 13.149 MT/day 4,339 MT/yr | 17.145 MT/day 5,658 MT/yr | Includes residual SiO₂ in wet cake. Product yield slightly exceeds extracted SiO₂ due to adsorbed water in dried product. |
| Nano-PCC Produced | 20.272 MT/day 6,690 MT/yr | 26.432 MT/day 8,723 MT/yr | 0.944 kg CaCO₃ per kg Na₂CO₃. Obligatory co-product. Cannot defer without collapsing NaOH recovery economics. |
| Desilicated Residue | 2.862 | 3.732 | Sold to brick kilns @ ₹900/MT. Rich in K₂O, Al₂O₃. Revenue: ₹0.94 Cr/yr Ph1A · ₹1.23 Cr/yr Ph1B. |
| CO₂ Generated (combustion) | 25.050 | 25.050 | From 20 MT/day husk. Fixed regardless of utilisation — thermal anchor. |
| CO₂ Used for PS Precipitation | 9.360 | 12.204 | Stoich 8.92 MT/day × 1.05 (5% excess) for pH endpoint control. Internal — zero purchase cost. |
| CO₂ Surplus (BCR upside) | 15.690 | 12.846 | NOT in base revenue. BCR credit potential: ~₹1.27 Cr/yr via Puro.earth @₹400/tCO₂. Excluded from base P&L. |
| CaO Consumed | 13.364 | 17.440 | v15 corrected (+14.2% from v14). Full causticisation of Na₂CO₃ at 85% CaO purity. Piduguralla source. |
| NaOH Fresh Makeup | 4.375 MT/day = 9.114 MT/day as 48% lye | 5.705 MT/day = 11.882 MT/day as 48% lye | Only 18% fresh makeup — 82% recovered via causticisation. Largest cost driver at ₹5.49 Cr/yr Ph1A. |
| Fresh Water Makeup | 84 KLD | 110 KLD | After 80% ZLD recycle. ETP+ZLD system (25 KLD) · MBR+RO+MEE train. |
| Gross thermal (20 TPD husk) | 243.0 GJ/day |
| TOH efficiency (82%) | 199.3 GJ/day available |
| Evaporation (no MVR) | 167.1 GJ/day |
| Leaching reactors | 42.7 GJ/day |
| Spray dryers | 15.1 GJ/day |
| Total demand | 224.9 GJ/day |
| DEFICIT | −25.6 GJ/day |
| Available heat (TOH, 82%) | 199.3 GJ/day |
| MVR saves on evaporation | −108.6 GJ/day |
| Evaporation (with MVR) | 58.5 GJ/day |
| Leaching + spray drying | 57.8 GJ/day |
| Total process demand | 116.3 GJ/day |
| SURPLUS (Ph1B anchor) | 83.0 GJ/day |
| Parameter | Value | Consequence of Deviation | Control Method |
|---|---|---|---|
| Furnace temperature | ≤700°C | Above 700°C: amorphous SiO₂ → cristobalite (crystalline) — 100% product loss, batch destroyed | CEMS auto-shutoff at 720°C. Refractory-lined furnace. Controlled air supply. |
| RHA SiO₂ content | ≥92% amorphous | Lower purity → reduced extraction, NaOH wasted on other minerals, product contamination | XRF verification each delivery batch. Min 90% SiO₂ in purchase contract. |
| SiO₂ extraction efficiency | 88% target | Each 1% drop → 0.12 MT/day less SiO₂ → ₹0.47 Cr/yr revenue loss | Lab trial validation before engineering freeze. NaOH concentration + temperature + time control. |
| Causticisation CE | 82% (target ≥86%) | Each 1% below target → ₹0.47 Cr/yr more NaOH purchase | Draft-tube (Dorr-Oliver) causticiser recommended — achieves 86–88% CE vs 82% agitated. Pre-commissioning lab trial mandatory. |
| CO₂ excess to precipitation | 5% above stoichiometric | Under-feed → incomplete precipitation (Na₂SiO₃ in effluent). Over-feed → pH drop below 5.5 → product dissolution | pH electrode feedback loop. CO₂ flow controller. Inline pH monitoring 5.5–9 (grade-specific endpoint). |
| CaO purity | ≥85% | Lower purity → more CaO needed (v15 already corrected for this), PCC contaminated, NaOH recovery drops | XRF each delivery. Piduguralla source has consistent 87–92% CaO. Reject any batch below 85%. |
| NaOH recovery rate | 82% (first-year target) | At 78% → ₹1.88 Cr/yr more NaOH purchase. At 70% → project economics stressed | Lab validation mandatory before bank disbursement. Highest-priority pre-commissioning activity per DPR v16. |
From OPEX cost drivers to revenue by grade, capital structure, and annual DSCR schedule. Click any tab to explore each dimension in detail.
| Year / Util | Revenue | OPEX | EBITDA | Margin | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 DPR (wrong) 60% · Moratorium |
₹13.94 Cr | ₹13.38 Cr | ₹0.56 Cr | 4.0% | PCC at ₹10/kg · 2% maint · 12 TPD husk |
| Y1 Optimised (H1) 60% · Months 12–18 |
₹16.32 Cr | ₹12.12 Cr | ₹4.20 Cr | 25.7% | 50% HDS ramp · 30% sealant PCC · 10 TPD husk · 20 staff · 0.5% maint |
| Y1 Optimised (Full-Year) 60% · Full HDS + classification |
₹19.43 Cr | ₹12.12 Cr | ₹7.32 Cr | 37.6% | 70% HDS · Full 2-stage PCC classification · 10 TPD husk · 20 staff · 0.5% maint |
| Y2 75% · HDS Qualified |
₹30.81 Cr | ₹16.73 Cr | ₹14.08 Cr | 45.7% | 14 TPD husk · 1% maintenance · First full DS year |
| Y3 90% · FSSAI + Ph1B export |
₹51.12 Cr | ₹20.32 Cr | ₹30.80 Cr | 60.3% | 18 TPD husk · Phase 1B installed · Dental grade starts |
| Y4+ 100% · Full Premium + Export |
₹61.75 Cr | ₹22.40 Cr | ₹39.35 Cr | 63.7% | 20 TPD husk · IRR 37–41% · DSCR 9.64× |
| Year | Util | Process Heat Needed | Husk TPD | Heat Available | Surplus | Husk Cost | vs 20 TPD Always |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 | 60% | 69.8 GJ/day | 10 TPD | 103.3 GJ/day | 33.5 GJ/day | ₹1.82 Cr | Save ₹1.82 Cr |
| Y2 | 75% | 87.2 GJ/day | 14 TPD | 144.6 GJ/day | 57.4 GJ/day | ₹2.54 Cr | Save ₹1.09 Cr |
| Y3 | 90% | 104.7 GJ/day | 18 TPD | 185.8 GJ/day | 81.1 GJ/day | ₹3.27 Cr | Save ₹0.36 Cr |
| Y4+ | 100% | 116.3 GJ/day | 20 TPD | 206.6 GJ/day | 90.3 GJ/day | ₹3.63 Cr | — |
| Total husk cost saving (Y1–Y3 vs 20 TPD always): | Save ₹3.27 Cr over 3 years | ||||||
Heat = MT/day × 12.15 GJ/MT × 0.85 TOH efficiency. Process heat scales with throughput (MVR model). CO₂ check: even at 10 TPD, CO₂ generated (12.5 MT/day) exceeds precipitation need (5.6 MT/day) by 2.2× — no CO₂ shortfall at any ramp point.
| Category | DPR v15 ₹L | India BOM ₹L | Saving ₹L |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land — 3 acres TSIIC Sangareddy | 300 | 300 | — |
| Civil (RCC furnace house + PEB process shed + foundations) | 178 | 148 | 30 |
| Process Equipment (full Indian BOM — see Capital tab) | 1,345 | 638 | 707 |
| Electrical + Solar (installed, no double-count) | 355 | 199 | 156 |
| Instrumentation (PLCs, SCADA, CEMS, transmitters) | 145 | 95 | 50 |
| Process piping (HDPE+CPVC+PP-lined, SS316 dental only) | 185 | 109 | 76 |
| Structural steel (Hyderabad fabrication @₹70/kg) | 90 | 50 | 40 |
| Insulation + painting + fire safety | 94 | 42 | 52 |
| Engineering + PMC (3.5% of installed) | — | 45 | — |
| Contingency @8% | 215 | 102 | 113 |
| Pre-op + Working Capital margin + DPIIT (−₹35L) | 190 | 185 | 5 |
| TOTAL PROJECT COST | 3,096 ₹30.96 Cr | 1,913 ₹19.13 Cr | 1,183 −38.2% |
| Debt (65%) | ₹20.12 Cr | ₹12.43 Cr | −₹7.69 Cr |
| Equity (35%) | ₹10.84 Cr | ₹6.70 Cr | −₹4.14 Cr |
| Year | Utilisation | Husk TPD | NaOH Cost | Maint Rate | Staff | Total OPEX | Note |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Y1 Optimised | 60% | 10 TPD | ₹3.29 Cr (×0.6) | 0.5% — new plant | 20 | ₹12.12 Cr | Corrected for ramp (DPR stated ₹13.38 Cr) |
| Y2 | 75% | 14 TPD | ₹4.12 Cr (×0.75) | 1.0% | 22 | ₹15.79 Cr | HDS qualified · Phase 1B from accruals |
| Y3 | 90% | 18 TPD | ₹4.94 Cr (×0.9) | 1.5% | 25 | ₹20.32 Cr | Ph1B installed · FSSAI dental starts |
| Y4+ | 100% | 20 TPD | ₹5.49 Cr | 2.0% | 25 | ₹22.40 Cr | Full Ph1B · export stream · dental revenue |
| Product Stream | Volume/yr | Price ₹/kg | Revenue |
|---|---|---|---|
| PS Standard 30% | 782 MT | ₹26 | ₹0.20 Cr |
| PS HDS 50% | 1,302 MT | ₹47 | ₹0.61 Cr |
| PS Standard 20% | 521 MT | ₹26 | ₹0.14 Cr |
| PS Subtotal (60% × 4,339 MT/yr) | ₹4.98 Cr | ||
| PCC Coatings 40% | 1,606 MT | ₹10 | ₹0.16 Cr |
| PCC Sealant 40% | 1,606 MT | ₹26 | ₹0.42 Cr |
| PCC Plastics 20% | 803 MT | ₹42 | ₹0.34 Cr |
| PCC Subtotal (60% × 6,690 MT/yr at ₹22.80 blended) | ₹9.14 Cr | ||
| Desilicated Residue (60% × 2,862 MT/day × 330) | ₹0.56 Cr | ||
| Y1 Optimised Total Revenue | ₹14.68 Cr* | ||
| Revenue Stream | Y1 (60% Ph1A) | Y2 (75% Ph1A) | Y3 (90% Ph1B) | Y4+ (100% Ph1B) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PS Standard | ₹0.34 Cr | ₹0.43 Cr | ₹0.50 Cr | ₹0.55 Cr |
| PS HDS (domestic ₹47/kg avg) | ₹3.51 Cr | ₹7.02 Cr | ₹12.96 Cr | ₹16.18 Cr |
| PS HDS (export ₹78/kg) | — | ₹1.17 Cr | ₹3.32 Cr | ₹4.98 Cr |
| PS Dental (FSSAI ₹92/kg) | — | — | ₹4.99 Cr | ₹7.80 Cr |
| PS Dental (export ₹148/kg) | — | — | ₹3.73 Cr | ₹5.60 Cr |
| PS Revenue Total | ₹3.85 Cr | ₹8.62 Cr | ₹25.50 Cr | ₹35.11 Cr |
| PCC Coatings (₹10/kg · 40%) | ₹1.34 Cr | ₹1.60 Cr | ₹2.32 Cr | ₹3.49 Cr |
| PCC Sealant (₹26/kg · 40%) | ₹3.48 Cr | ₹4.16 Cr | ₹6.03 Cr | ₹9.07 Cr |
| PCC Plastics (₹42/kg · 20%) | ₹2.81 Cr | ₹3.36 Cr | ₹4.87 Cr | ₹7.33 Cr |
| PCC Revenue Total | ₹7.63 Cr | ₹9.12 Cr | ₹13.22 Cr | ₹19.89 Cr |
| Desilicated Residue (₹900/MT) | ₹0.57 Cr | ₹0.71 Cr | ₹1.11 Cr | ₹1.23 Cr |
| BCR Carbon Credits (upside — not base) | — | — | — | ~₹1.27 Cr potential |
| TOTAL REVENUE | ₹12.05 Cr | ₹18.45 Cr | ₹39.83 Cr | ₹56.23 Cr* |
*Approximate product-line breakdown. DPR v15 states ₹61.75 Cr at Y4+ 100%; exact difference reflects export pricing variations and grade mix optimisation. BCR credits excluded from base model.
| Equipment | Indian Supplier (2026) | India ₹L | DPR v15 ₹L | Saving ₹L | Basis / Spec |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A · Furnace & Thermal System | |||||
| Biomass combustion furnace 20 TPD Travelling grate, refractory-lined, ID fan, RH feed screw, CEMS port |
Thermax Bioenergy (Pune) · Raj International (Rajkot) · Haftekh Eng (Gujarat) | 65 | — | — | 20 MT/hr nominal · ≤700°C strict · CEMS auto-shutoff at 720°C · Refractory life 5+ yr |
| Thermal Oil Heater 3.5 MMkcal/hr Therminol 55/66, SS coil, non-IBR, safety interlocks, expansion tank |
Forbes Marshall (Pune) · Thermax (Pune) · Raj Fluid Controls (Rajkot) | 48 | — | — | Replaces IBR steam boiler. No IBR registration. No licensed boiler attendant. 8–10 wk faster commissioning. Combined furnace+TOH = ₹113L vs DPR furnace+IBR ₹280L |
| CO₂ capture + roots blower Flue gas filtration, roots blower, distribution manifold to precipitation |
Everest Blowers (Delhi) · Mach Power Point (Pune) | 8 | — | — | CO₂ from flue gas = ZERO purchase cost. 5% excess for pH endpoint control. MS ducting + PP scrubber for particulate removal |
| DPR Total (incl. IBR boiler): | 280 | India saving: ₹167L (−59.6%) | |||
| B · Leaching Circuit | |||||
| Leach reactors ×3 (SS304 / PP-lined, 10 KL) Top-entry agitator 7.5 kW TEFC, baffle set, nozzles, 3mm PP lining |
Hydro Air Engineers (Hyderabad) · Sai Engineering (Pune) · Ideal SS Fabricators (Hyd) | 42 | 120 | 78 | ₹14L each. PP lining for NaOH 10% at 90°C — fully adequate. 90°C · 2hr · 1.331 kg NaOH/kg SiO₂. SS304 outer shell with PP internal lining via local fabricators |
| Residue filter press ×1 (800mm PP, 60 chambers) Desilicated silica cake — to brick kilns at ₹900/MT |
Hydro Press Industries (Rajkot) · Parkar Industries (Mumbai) | 9 | — | — | 2.862 MT/day desilicated residue. PP plates — chemically inert in NaOH + silica slurry. Hydraulic end-closure. Single press sufficient for residue volume |
| C · PS Precipitation & Filtration | |||||
| PS precipitation reactors ×2 (MS epoxy, 8 KL) CO₂ sparger, pH electrode, open-top with PP lid, cooling coil |
Local Hyderabad MS fabricators · Balaji Engineering Works (Hyd) | 13 | — | — | Na₂SiO₃ + CO₂ → SiO₂↓ + Na₂CO₃. pH 5.5–9 depending on grade. T: 50–70°C. MS epoxy-lined adequate for this mild service |
| PS filter presses ×2 (1200mm PP, 100 chambers) Hydraulic end closure, semi-auto plate shift, 25 bar working pressure |
Star Filter Press (Gujarat) · Hydro Press (Rajkot) · Enviro Filter (Ahmedabad) | 26 | 110 | 84 | ₹13L each. India is a global leader in PP filter press manufacturing — Rajkot/Gujarat cluster exports to 50+ countries. DPR price was import-basis. Cake wash for food-grade |
| D · Spray Drying | |||||
| Spray dryer #1 — 500 kg/hr SS304 (Standard + HDS) Rotary atomizer, bag filter, cyclone, air heater, SS304 body + cone |
Raj Process Equipments (Pune) · Techpro India (Mumbai) · Pratik Drying (Ahmedabad) | 54 | 80 | 26 | 500 kg/hr water evaporation. SS304 fully adequate for Standard/HDS grades. Inlet air 180°C · outlet 80°C. Closed-cycle for solvent-free process. Rotary atomizer for uniform PSD |
| Spray dryer #2 — 500 kg/hr SS316L (Dental/Food grade) SS316L body, cyclone + product contact surfaces, HEPA filter on outlet |
Raj Process Equipments (Pune) · GEA India (Mumbai — for dental validation) | 67 | 80 | 13 | SS316L for FSSAI E551 + toothpaste-grade compliance. Pb ≤1 ppm — SS316L avoids Fe contamination. D50 ≤12 µm. Year 3 dental revenue depends on this dryer |
| E · NaOH Recovery (Causticisation) + Nano-PCC Production — Obligatory Co-Product | |||||
| Draft-tube causticiser, 20 m³ MS rubber-lined, Dorr-Oliver draft-tube impeller, baffled, overflow weir |
Local Hyderabad fabrication · Chemical Process Equipment (CPE) Hyd | 17 | — | — | Na₂CO₃ + Ca(OH)₂ → 2NaOH + CaCO₃↓. Draft-tube minimises back-mixing = tighter PCC PSD. Rubber lining for Ca(OH)₂ service. 82% NaOH recovery rate target |
| CaO continuous paddle slaker, 15 MT/day MS screw-feed, paddle-type, water injection, grit removal, steam vent |
Bharat Engineers (Hyderabad) · SP Fabricators (Hyd) · local | 10 | — | — | POLICY: Always buy CaO and slake on-site. Never buy pre-slaked Ca(OH)₂. CaO purity ≥85% — XRF verify each delivery. 13.364 MT/day CaO consumed (v15 corrected). Exothermic −63.7 kJ/mol |
| 2-stage PCC hydrocyclone system (D4 + D6 Krebs) Rubber-lined, underflow + overflow tanks, feed pumps, classif. to 3 grades |
Krebs Engineers India (Vadodara) · Multotec India · Weir Minerals India | 26 | 80 | 54 | Separates PCC into: coatings grade (d50 2µm) · sealant grade (d50 0.7µm) · plastics grade (d50 0.5µm). Value uplift ₹8.57 Cr/yr vs all-bulk pricing. DPR ₹80L was import basis (Dorr-Oliver). Krebs India = same technology, locally sourced |
| DPR Total (slaker+caustic+cyclone): | 170 | India saving: ₹117L (−68.8%) | |||
| F · NaOH Concentration — MVR Evaporation (Mandatory Day 1) | |||||
| 2-effect falling film evaporator + MVR compressor SS316L evaporator bodies · roots blower compressor · barometric condenser |
Indian Process Equipment Corp (Pune) · Swenson Technology India · Alfa Laval India (Mumbai) | 74 | 150 | 76 | MVR mandatory — without it: 25.6 GJ/day deficit, plant cannot operate. MVR saves 65% evaporation energy (167 → 58.5 GJ/day). Roots blower from Everest/Hibon India. Evaporator bodies Indian-fabricated SS316L. DPR ₹150L assumed triple-effect imported |
| G · Water Treatment — ETP + ZLD (Day 1 Mandatory) | |||||
| ETP 25 KLD (MBBR + SBR + clarifier + pH tank) MS/FRP construction, online pH/COD monitoring, TSPCB-compliant discharge |
Thermax Enviro (Pune) · Enviro Labs India (Hyderabad) · Waterleau India (Pune) | 20 | — | — | ETP recovers process water. Permeate fed to ZLD. CPCB TSPCB discharge norms. COD target <100 mg/L to drain. Hyderabad has 8+ local ETP suppliers |
| ZLD system 25 KLD (MEE + ATFD) Multi-effect evaporator SS316L + agitated thin film dryer, 80% recovery |
Thermax ZLD (Pune) · Veolia India (Mumbai) · Aquatech India · Sulzer India | 44 | — | — | ZLD = zero liquid discharge. 80% water recovery. 25 KLD MEE → 5 KLD concentrated brine → ATFD crystal salt. Mandatory per TSPCB CTO condition. Order Month 0 (14-wk lead time) |
| DPR ETP+ZLD combined: | 120 | India saving: ₹56L (−46.7%) | |||
| H · QC Laboratory | |||||
| BET surface area analyser + PSD + XRF + bench instruments In-house QC from Day 1 for SiO₂%, BET m²/g, d50 µm, pH, heavy metals |
Quantachrome India (BET) · Malvern-Panalytical India (PSD+XRF) · Lab India | 32 | 40 | 8 | Quantachrome Nova 2000 (BET) ₹12L · Malvern Mastersizer 2000 (PSD) ₹5L · Rigaku Supermini/Epsilon XRF ₹10L · pH/conductivity/turbidity bench ₹5L. In-house from Day 1 enables rapid grade QC |
| I · Miscellaneous Process Equipment (tanks, pumps, material handling, utilities) | |||||
| Misc. process equipment (itemised below) | Sintex/local (tanks) · Kirloskar/Flowserve India (pumps) · ELGI (compressor) · local Hyd | 83 | 195 | 112 | HDPE tanks ×6 (20–30KL) ₹21L · PP pumps ×14 ₹6L · Screw conveyors ×3 + bucket elevators ×2 ₹12L · Bag filters ×2 ₹10L · Cooling tower 25TR FRP ₹5L · ELGI screw compressor 45kW ₹8L · Auto-bagging 25kg ₹9L · Misc vessels ₹12L |
| TOTAL PROCESS EQUIPMENT | All Indian suppliers, no import premium | 638 | 1,345 | 707 | −52.6% vs DPR v15. Key: TOH saves ₹167L · PP filter presses −₹84L · Indian MVR −₹76L · Indian reactors −₹78L · Hydrocyclones −₹54L |
| Item | India ₹L | DPR ₹L |
|---|---|---|
| Land — 3 acres TSIIC Sangareddy ₹1 Cr/acre. TSIIC also offers 30-yr lease at ₹18-22L/acre — preserves ₹300L equity for operations. Lease option reduces TPC by ₹300L | 300 | 300 |
| Civil works Fire-rated RCC furnace house (mandatory) 2400 sqft · PEB process shed 5000 sqft · RCC foundations · roads + bunds + drainage · Admin+lab 1200 sqft · Boundary wall | 148 | 178 |
| Electrical + Solar (installed) 11kV HT+transformer ₹32L · LT MCC panel ₹18L · VFDs ×12 ABB/Hitachi India ₹28L · DG 200kVA Kirloskar ₹18L · Solar 250kWp Waaree ₹65L (@₹26/Wp all-in) · Cabling+trays ₹26L · Lighting+earthing ₹12L | 199 | 355 |
| Instrumentation & Control CEMS (TSPCB-linked) ₹18L · PLCs ×4 Siemens S7-1200 + SCADA ₹18L · Flow meters ×8 EM ₹15L · Level tx ×10 ₹8L · Temp tx ×20 ₹6L · pH analyzers ×6 ₹9L · Pressure tx ×12 ₹5L · Control valves ×6 ₹10L · Marshalling ₹6L | 95 | 145 |
| Process piping (material + installed) HDPE SDR11 (utility) ₹16L · CPVC Sch-80 (NaOH/Na₂SiO₃) ₹22L · PP-lined CS (headers) ₹18L · SS316L (dental circuit only) ₹10L · MS (flue gas) ₹7L · Valves ₹14L · Fittings ₹8L · Installation ₹14L | 109 | 185 |
| Structural steel (fabricated + erected) ~200 MT total. Reactor mezzanine, spray dryer platform, TOH area, pipe racks. Hyderabad fabricators @₹70/kg vs ₹120/kg branded | 50 | 90 |
| Insulation, painting & fire safety Rockwool TOH circuit ₹12L · Epoxy coating ₹5L · Intumescent paint ₹4L · Dry-powder suppression ₹10L · Fire hydrant ₹8L · Safety showers ×4 + eyewash ₹3L | 42 | 94 |
| Cost Component | DPR v15 Conservative baseline |
India-Optimised All Indian suppliers |
India + TSIIC Lease Land on 30yr lease |
Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Land — 3 acres TSIIC | 300 | 300 | 0 (EMI) | TSIIC lease = ₹18–22L/yr; 30-yr lease preserves ₹300L for operations. Purchase option exercisable after 10 yr |
| Civil works | 178 | 148 | 148 | Saving: PEB for process shed (₹300-400/sqft vs RCC ₹700/sqft). Fire-rated RCC kept only where mandatory (furnace house) |
| Process equipment (Indian BOM) | 1,345 | 638 | 638 | −52.6%. Full BOM above with Indian vendor names. Key: furnace+TOH saves ₹167L vs DPR furnace+IBR |
| Electrical + Solar (installed) | 355 | 199 | 199 | Consolidates DPR's Electrical ₹185L + Utilities ₹170L, removes double-counting. Solar at ₹26/Wp all-in (Waaree market rate Sep 2026) |
| Instrumentation & Control | 145 | 95 | 95 | S7-1200 PLCs + open-source SCADA vs proprietary DCS. WirelessHART for non-critical points. CEMS from Indian-certified suppliers |
| Process piping (installed) | 185 | 109 | 109 | HDPE + CPVC replaces SS316 for 85%+ of piping. SS316 only for dental circuit. Modular skids reduce field piping |
| Structural steel | 90 | 50 | 50 | Hyderabad fabrication ₹70/kg vs ₹120/kg national branded. Compact plant layout minimises pipe-rack length |
| Insulation + painting + fire safety | 94 | 42 | 42 | Rockwool insulation on TOH circuit only (smaller than steam system). Fire safety scaled to actual TSPCB NOC requirements |
| Engineering + PMC (3.5% installed) | — | 45 | 45 | Detailed engineering, procurement support, PMC supervision. Hyderabad PMC (Cyient Engineering / local). Not separately listed in DPR v15 |
| Contingency | 215 (8%) | 102 (8%) | 102 (8%) | Applied to civil + equipment + installation. Same 8% rate — smaller base gives smaller absolute amount |
| Pre-op + WC margin + DPIIT (−₹35L) | 190 | 185 | 185 | Pre-op ₹55L + WC margin ₹165L − DPIIT ₹35L. WC margin = 20% of estimated 2-month WC requirement (~₹825L total WC, bank finances 80%) |
| TOTAL PROJECT COST | ₹30.96 Cr | ₹19.13 Cr | ₹16.13 Cr | India-optimised saves ₹11.83 Cr (38.2%). With lease: saves ₹14.83 Cr (47.9%) |
| Debt (65%) | ₹20.12 Cr | ₹12.43 Cr | ₹10.48 Cr | 10.5% p.a., 7yr, 12mo moratorium |
| Equity (35%) | ₹10.84 Cr | ₹6.70 Cr | ₹5.65 Cr | Promoter equity from M/S Surya Industries |
| Annual DS (Y2+ post-moratorium) | ₹4.07 Cr | ₹2.66 Cr | ₹2.24 Cr | Annuity DS on reduced debt. Y2 DSCR = ₹14.08 Cr EBITDA / DS |
| Y2 DSCR (EBITDA ₹14.08 Cr) | 3.46× | 5.29× | 6.29× | Y2 DSCR improves dramatically — much easier bank sanction at lower debt quantum |
| Principal | ₹12.43 Cr |
| vs DPR v15 debt | −₹7.69 Cr |
| Interest Rate | 10.5% p.a. reducing |
| Tenure | 7 years |
| Moratorium | 12 months |
| Y1 DS (moratorium interest) | ₹1.31 Cr |
| Annual DS (Y2 onwards) | ₹2.66 Cr/yr (vs ₹4.07 Cr DPR) |
| Y1 EBITDA | ₹0.56 Cr (conservative) |
| Y1 shortfall bridging needed | ₹0.75 Cr (vs ₹1.55 Cr DPR) |
| Metric | DPR v15 | India BOM |
|---|---|---|
| Y1 DSCR | 0.27× | 0.43× |
| Y2 DSCR | 3.46× | 5.29× |
| Y3 DSCR | 7.57× | 11.59× |
| Y4+ DSCR | 9.64× | 14.79× |
| Project IRR | 37–41% | 52–58% |
| Equity IRR | 66–70% | 90–100% |
| Equity requirement | ₹10.84 Cr | ₹6.70 Cr |
| Ph1B payback | <2 months | <2 months |
| Category | ₹ Lakhs | % TPC | Detail & Rationale |
|---|---|---|---|
| Land — 3 acres TSIIC Sangareddy | 300 | 9.7% | ₹1 Cr/acre TSIIC industrial plot. v15 correction — prior v13 stated ₹17L/acre (error). TSIIC Patancheru or Zaheerabad cluster. 3 acres adequate for Ph1A + Ph1B + ZLD. |
| Civil — RCC structures | 178 | 5.7% | Fire-rated RCC construction for TOH/furnace building (mandatory — thermal oil flash point ~150°C). Epoxy flooring in process areas. Acid-resistant drains. Roads, bunds, security. NOT PEB steel shed (fire-rated RCC is locked design decision). |
| Furnace + TOH system | 170 | 5.5% | 20 MT/day refractory-lined furnace (₹120L) + Thermal Oil Heater Therminol 55 circuit at 180–220°C (₹45–55L). Saves ₹105–120L vs IBR boiler. No IBR registration, no boiler attendant, 8–10 wk critical path saving. |
| Process Equipment — Reactors, Filters, Evaporator | 975 | 31.5% | Glass-lined leach reactors 6×5KL (₹105L) · Filter presses ×2 (₹110L) · MVR triple-effect evaporator ₹150L · Spray dryers ×2 SS316 (₹160L) · CaO slaker + causticisation (₹90L) · PCC hydrocyclone classifiers (₹80L) · Continuous CO₂ precipitation reactors (₹80L) · QC lab BET+XRF+PSD (₹40L) · SCADA (₹15L) · Misc (₹45L) |
| ETP + ZLD — 25 KLD | 120 | 3.9% | pH neutralisation → MBR → RO → MEE train. 80% water recovery. Day 1 mandatory per TSPCB CTO conditions. 14-week lead time — order at Month 0. |
| Electrical — HT/LT switchgear, MCCs, VFDs, solar, cabling | 185 | 6.0% | 13.8% of equipment. 11kV incomer · 12 VFDs (reactor agitators, pumps, MVR compressor) · 200 kVA DG · 250 kWp solar. Standard for process plant. |
| Instrumentation — CEMS, PLCs, transmitters, SCADA | 145 | 4.7% | 10.8% of equipment. TSPCB-linked CEMS mandatory pre-CTO. 4× PLCs + HMI SCADA. pH/flow/temp/level loops. Wireless transmitters for non-critical points save 15% on cabling. |
| Process piping — PP-lined, HDPE, SS316 (food grade only) | 185 | 6.0% | 13.8% of equipment. NaOH & Na₂SiO₃ service → PP-lined CS (≤90°C, fully adequate). General utility → HDPE SDR11 (saves 60% vs SS). SS316 only for dental PS circuit. |
| Structural steel — pipe racks, mezzanines, access platforms | 90 | 2.9% | 6.7% of equipment. Local Sangareddy/Hyderabad fabricators at ₹65–75/kg. Reactor mezzanine, TOH platform, spray dryer walkway, pipe bridge to ETP. |
| Insulation, painting & fire safety (TSPCB mandatory) | 94 | 3.0% | 7.0% of equipment. Rockwool insulation on thermal oil circuit. Epoxy + intumescent on structural steel. Dry-powder suppression in furnace area. Safety showers × 4. |
| Utilities — HT, DG, Solar | 170 | 5.5% | HT connection + transformer (₹50L) · DG 200 kVA backup (₹25L) · Solar PV 250 kWp (₹60L) · CEMS system (₹20L) · Metering + earthing (₹15L). |
| Contingency @8% | 215 | 6.9% | Conservative engineering contingency — applied to civil + process equipment + utilities. Does not apply to land or pre-op. |
| Pre-op + Working Capital + DPIIT (−₹35L) | 190 | 6.1% | Pre-op: trial runs, consultants, licences, staff training (₹80L). WC margin (2 months): ₹145L. DPIIT SISFS grant: −₹35L (deducted when confirmed). Net: ₹190L. |
| TOTAL PROJECT COST | 3,096 | 100% | Debt ₹20.12 Cr (65%) · Equity ₹10.84 Cr (35%) · Phase 1B ₹1.50 Cr from Y1 accruals (NOT in bank debt) |
| Principal | ₹12.43 Cr |
| Interest Rate | 10.5% p.a. (reducing balance) |
| Tenure | 7 years from disbursement |
| Moratorium | 12 months (interest-only) |
| Y1 DS (moratorium) | ₹1.31 Cr (interest only) |
| Annual DS (Y2 onwards) | ₹2.66 Cr/yr (annuity) |
| Security | Equitable mortgage on land + hypothecation of assets + promoter guarantee |
| Lender type | SIDBI / State Bank / TSIIC term loan |
| EBITDA Margin | 63.7% |
| Project IRR | 37–41% |
| Equity IRR | 66–70% |
| ROE (Y4+) | ~350% |
| Peak DSCR (India BOM) | 14.79× (Y4+) |
| Ph1B payback | <2 months |
Annual cash flow and DSCR from commissioning (Year 1 = Month 12–23) through loan repayment (Year 7). DSCR formula = (EBITDA − income tax on PBT) ÷ (principal + interest). Y1/Y2 tax near-zero due to depreciation shield and low PBT. Y3/Y4+ use 25.17% tax rate on PBT after depreciation (depreciation schedule annexure pending).
| Item | Y1 (60% · Morum) | Y2 (75%) | Y3 (90%) | Y4 (100%) | Y5 (100%) | Y6 (100%) | Y7 (100%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Revenue | ₹16.32 Cr | ₹30.81 Cr | ₹51.12 Cr | ₹61.75 Cr | ₹61.75 Cr | ₹61.75 Cr | ₹61.75 Cr |
| OPEX | ₹12.12 Cr | ₹16.73 Cr | ₹20.32 Cr | ₹22.40 Cr | ₹22.40 Cr | ₹22.40 Cr | ₹22.40 Cr |
| EBITDA | ₹4.20 Cr | ₹14.08 Cr | ₹30.80 Cr | ₹39.35 Cr | ₹39.35 Cr | ₹39.35 Cr | ₹39.35 Cr |
| Depreciation (est.) | ~₹2.0 Cr | ~₹2.0 Cr | ~₹1.8 Cr | ~₹1.6 Cr | ~₹1.5 Cr | ~₹1.3 Cr | ~₹1.1 Cr |
| Income Tax @25.17% | ~₹0 | ~₹0.5 Cr | ~₹2.8 Cr | ~₹4.8 Cr | ~₹5.0 Cr | ~₹5.2 Cr | ~₹5.4 Cr |
| Interest Paid | ₹1.31 Cr | ₹1.31 Cr | ₹1.16 Cr | ₹1.01 Cr | ₹0.83 Cr | ₹0.64 Cr | ₹0.43 Cr |
| Principal Repaid | ₹0 (moratorium) | ₹1.35 Cr | ₹1.50 Cr | ₹1.65 Cr | ₹1.83 Cr | ₹2.02 Cr | ₹2.23 Cr |
| Total Debt Service | ₹1.31 Cr | ₹2.66 Cr | ₹2.66 Cr | ₹2.66 Cr | ₹2.66 Cr | ₹2.66 Cr | ₹2.66 Cr |
| DSCR (EBITDA/DS) | 0.43׆ | 5.29× | 11.6× | 14.79× | 14.79× | 14.79× | 14.79× |
| Free Cash After DS | −₹0.75 Cr† | ₹11.42 Cr | ₹28.14 Cr | ₹36.69 Cr | ₹36.69 Cr | ₹36.69 Cr | ₹36.69 Cr |
†Y1: EBITDA ₹0.56 Cr vs moratorium interest ₹1.31 Cr — promoter bridges ₹0.75 Cr gap (DPR v15 required ₹1.55 Cr; India BOM reduces this by 52%). DSCR shown as simplified EBITDA/DS (pre-tax). Exact DS schedule and tax computation require lender amortisation table and depreciation schedule (pending). Free cash shown pre-tax for Y1/Y2; Y3+ tax reduces net by ~₹2.8–4.8 Cr/yr.
Drag any slider to instantly recalculate the full P&L. Every number in this model is derived from DPR v16 mass balance — no rounding shortcuts.
All major equipment items with specifications, cost, and commissioning notes.
| Equipment | ₹ Lakhs | Lead Time | Order Month | Delivery Target | Status | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Furnace + TOH System Critical | 170 | 12–14 weeks | Month 2 | Month 5–6 | Long lead | Refractory-lined furnace + Therminol 55 TOH system. Order immediately at engineering freeze. |
| MVR Triple-Effect Evaporator Critical | 150 | 12–16 weeks | Month 2 | Month 6–7 | Long lead | MVR mandatory from Day 1. Without it plant cannot meet thermal budget. SS316 wetted parts specified. |
| Spray Dryers ×2 SS316 Critical | 160 | 10–14 weeks | Month 2 | Month 5–6 | Long lead | SS316 mandatory (not SS304 — caustic + silica corrosion). MTC certificate required. 500 kg/hr each. |
| ETP + ZLD (25 KLD) Critical | 120 | 14 weeks | Month 0 | Month 3–4 | Order immediately | Day 1 mandatory per TSPCB CTO. Must be commissioned and operational before CTO granted. |
| Glass-Lined Leach Reactors 6×5KL | 105 | 8–10 weeks | Month 3 | Month 5–6 | Moderate lead | Glass lining vs SS316+PP — superior corrosion resistance, 20+ year service life. 2 banks of 3 reactors enables Phase 1B without civil work. |
| Filter Presses ×2 | 110 | 6–8 weeks | Month 4 | Month 6 | Moderate lead | Plate-and-frame, 8–10 bar hydraulic. PP filter cloths. +₹30L Ph1B press from Y1 accruals at Month 18. |
| CaO Slaker + Causticiser | 90 | 8 weeks | Month 4 | Month 6 | Moderate lead | Consider Dorr-Oliver draft-tube design for CE 86–88% vs 82% agitated (+₹20–35L, payback <2 months). |
| PCC Hydrocyclone Classifiers (2-stage) | 80 | 6–8 weeks | Month 4 | Month 6 | Standard lead | 2-stage classification for coatings/sealant/plastics fractions. +₹5.14 Cr/yr revenue. Highest ROI item — payback <1 month. |
| Solar PV 250 kWp | 60 | 6 weeks | Month 6 | Month 9 | Standard lead | Net metering via TSSPDCL. 315,000 kWh/yr offset. DISCOM application at Month 1. |
| CEMS System | 20 | 4–6 weeks | Month 7 | Month 9 | Standard lead | CO₂, CO, SO₂, NOₓ, PM, T, flow. Real-time to TSPCB server. Auto-shutoff at 720°C. Mandatory before CTO. |
| QC Laboratory | 40 | 4 weeks | Month 8 | Month 10 | Standard lead | ED-XRF + Laser PSD + pH analyser + moisture. BET outsource in Y1. In-house BET from Y2. |
| Input Stream | MT/day | ₹/MT |
|---|---|---|
| Rice husk (fuel + RHA source) | 20.000 | 5,500 |
| Purchased RHA (≥90% SiO₂) | 11.432 | 750 |
| NaOH 48% lye (fresh makeup) | 9.114 | 18,240 |
| CaO quicklime (≥85% purity) | 13.364 | 6,000 |
| CTAB surface agent (HDS) | 0.289 | 1,80,000 |
| Stearic acid (sealant PCC) | 0.162 | 1,20,000 |
| Fresh water (net makeup) | 84 KLD | ~₹20/KL |
| TOTAL SOLID INPUTS | 54.36 | — |
| Output Stream | MT/day | ₹/kg |
|---|---|---|
| Precipitated Silica (PS) | 13.149 | ₹26–95 |
| Nano-PCC (obligatory) | 20.272 | ₹10–42 |
| Desilicated residue (brick kilns) | 2.862 | ₹0.90 |
| CO₂ surplus (BCR upside) | 15.690 | — |
| Flue gas ash (disposed) | ~0.8 | — |
| ZLD brine salt (disposal) | ~0.1 | — |
| TOTAL PRODUCTS + WASTE | 52.87 | — |
All reference documents generated from DPR v15 — click to open each document.
36-month roadmap from financial close to FSSAI-certified dental production. Phase 1B funded from Y1 accruals at Month 18. Phase 2 from Y2+ accruals — no additional bank debt ever.
| Milestone | Depends On | Blocks | Consequence of Delay |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lab Validation (M2–4) | RHA samples from 5 suppliers · Lab setup | Engineering freeze · Bank disbursement tranches | If CE <70% or extraction <80% — redesign required. Banks may pause disbursement pending results. |
| TSPCB CTO (M12) | CTE approval · CEMS operational · ZLD running · CTO inspection | Commercial production | Cannot ship product without CTO. 6–9M consent process must start at Month 0. Any shortfall in CEMS/ZLD = inspection fail. |
| HDS OEM Qualification (M14–18) | Month 11 trial samples sent · Customer lab tests (6–9M cycle) | HDS revenue ramp | Customer engagement from Month 1 (not after commissioning) is a locked design decision. Delay → HDS revenue delayed, revenue stays at Standard grade pricing. |
| FSSAI E551 Licence (M36) | Application at Month 12 · 12–18M approval cycle | Dental/food PS revenue ₹90–95/kg | Dental revenue delayed to Y5 → EBITDA impact −₹8.90 Cr in Y3 (DSCR falls to 5.49× — still bankable but margin tighter). |
| Phase 1B Installation (M18) | Y1 EBITDA ≥₹1.50 Cr · Equipment pre-ordered at M12 | Volume expansion · Export containers | Ph1B from accruals only. If Y1 EBITDA is lower than expected, Phase 1B slides to Month 24 — incremental revenue delayed but no debt risk. |
All scenarios tested against Y4+ base: ₹61.75 Cr revenue · ₹39.35 Cr EBITDA · 14.79× DSCR (India BOM, DS ₹2.66 Cr/yr).
| Stress Scenario | EBITDA Impact | Revised EBITDA | DSCR | Verdict |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Base Case (Y4+, 100% util, full premium — India BOM) | — | ₹39.35 Cr | 14.79× | Bankable ✓ |
| PS price −20% all grades | −₹7.77 Cr | ₹32.02 Cr | 7.87× | Bankable |
| NaOH price +30% | −₹2.75 Cr | ₹37.04 Cr | 9.10× | Bankable |
| NaOH price +50% | −₹4.58 Cr | ₹35.21 Cr | 8.65× | Bankable |
| Rice husk price doubles | −₹3.63 Cr | ₹36.16 Cr | 8.88× | Bankable |
| Utilisation 85% in Y4+ | −₹4.57 Cr | ₹35.22 Cr | 8.65× | Bankable |
| Dental/FSSAI delayed to Y5 | −₹8.90 Cr (Y3) | ₹22.33 Cr (Y3) | 5.49× (Y3) | Bankable |
| Combined: PS−15% + NaOH+30% + 85% util | −₹14.00 Cr | ₹25.79 Cr | 6.34× | Bankable |
| Worst case: PS−25% + NaOH+50% + 75% + no export | −₹26.52 Cr | ₹13.27 Cr | 3.26× | Stressed (above 1.25× covenant) |
| Upside: BCR credits + electricity export | +₹1.27 Cr | ₹41.06 Cr | 10.09× | Upside |
| Risk | Category | Probability | Impact | Severity | Mitigation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTAB supply disruption | Supply chain | Medium | Very High | HIGH | 4-week mandatory buffer · Dual-supplier qualification · CTAB disruption halts HDS production entirely → falls to Standard grade at ₹26/kg |
| Causticisation CE <70% | Process | Medium | High | HIGH | Lab validation mandatory before financial close. Dorr-Oliver draft-tube causticiser achieves 86–88% CE. Every 1% gap = ₹0.47 Cr/yr extra NaOH cost. |
| TSPCB CTO delayed beyond Month 14 | Regulatory | Medium | High | HIGH | CTE filed Month 0. CEMS ordered Month 7. ZLD operational Month 10. Engage TSPCB consultant from Month 0 to track consent status. Fire-rated RCC (correct building type) eliminates IBR inspection dependency. |
| PS price decline >20% | Market | Low | High | MEDIUM | Sensitivity: PS −20% → EBITDA ₹32.02 Cr → DSCR 7.87× — still bankable. Grade mix shift to dental (₹90–95/kg) reduces PS commodity exposure. |
| NaOH price spike +50% | Commodity | Low | Medium | MEDIUM | Sensitivity: +50% NaOH → EBITDA ₹35.21 Cr → DSCR 8.65×. Primary mitigation: every 1% CE improvement = ₹0.47 Cr/yr offset. Target CE 86–88% with draft-tube causticiser. |
| HDS customer qualification delayed >6M | Commercial | Medium | Medium | MEDIUM | Customer engagement from Month 1 (not Month 12). Trial samples at Month 11. Backup: sell Standard grade at ₹26/kg during HDS qualification. Y1 model already uses mixed grade — no cliff risk. |
| RHA SiO₂ quality below 90% | Feedstock | Low | Medium | LOW | Min 90% SiO₂ in purchase contract. XRF each delivery. Multiple suppliers. Bonus RHA from own combustion is XRF-tested on-site. Reject any below-spec batch. |
| Furnace temperature exceedance | Technical | Low | Very High | MEDIUM | CEMS auto-shutoff at 720°C. Controlled air supply + temperature controller. >700°C → cristobalite (crystalline) → 100% batch loss. Furnace refractory lining + thermal lag prevents rapid excursions. |
| FSSAI licence delayed to Y5 | Regulatory | Low | Medium | LOW | Sensitivity: dental delayed to Y5 → EBITDA −₹8.90 Cr in Y3 (₹22.33 Cr), DSCR 5.49× — still bankable. Application filed Month 12. Acid wash for trace metal removal (₹5–10L) accelerates approval by removing Pb/Cd to <1 ppm. |